—
model hit rate
10,000
simulations per match
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calls yesterday
How the model works
01
Team strength + goal model
How strong each side is and which scorelines are most likely — from years of match data.
02
Monte Carlo
10,000 simulations of every match — and the whole bracket after each result.
03
AI explains
An AI analyst turns the numbers into reasoning you can argue with.
Why does the model favour France over Argentina?
Based on 10,000 simulations: a small home edge from team strength, but squad availability shifts the distribution by 2–3 pp. Analytics, not financial advice.